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Decelerating Yet Steady: CoreLogic's Insight into U.S. Single-Family Rent Trends in October

In the latest twist of the U.S. housing narrative, CoreLogic's newest report reveals a continuing trend in single-family rent dynamics. As of October, there's been a noticeable deceleration in rent growth for the 18th consecutive month, yet the figures still point to a significant 2.5% year-over-year increase. This growth, albeit slower, has not been easy on renters' pockets, with the median household now shelling out an extra $500 monthly compared to early 2020.

Diving into the details, the report highlights a persistent pattern: lower-priced rental homes are witnessing more robust growth compared to their higher-tier counterparts. The spotlight shines on San Diego, leading the pack among major metros with a 5.2% hike in rental prices, closely tailed by cities like St. Louis, Boston, and New York.

This comprehensive analysis, takes a deep dive into the nuances of the Single-Family Rent Index (SFRI). The SFRI scrutinizes rent price changes both nationally and across significant metropolitan areas.

The picture painted is one of gradual cooling in the U.S. rent market, with October marking a significant milestone in this trend. Despite this slowdown, cumulative increases since early 2020 hover around 30%, exerting pressure on renters nationwide. Interestingly, while areas like St. Louis offer relative affordability, high-demand coastal regions like Boston and New York continue to experience substantial rental price gains.

Molly Boesel, CoreLogic's principal economist, underscores the significance of this trend. October's figures represent the lowest annual growth rate in over three years and the most substantial dip between September and October in a decade. While this deceleration might be a relief for renters, the long-term affordability concerns remain stark.

CoreLogic's methodology offers a granular view of the single-family rental market, segmenting it into four price tiers and examining attached versus detached property types.

The findings are intriguing: lower-priced rentals saw a 3.3% increase, while the higher-priced segment experienced only a 1.8% uptick. When comparing property types, attached single-family rentals outpaced detached ones in terms of annual growth.

Amidst these varied trends, San Diego emerged as the leader in rent increases for October 2023, with notable gains also recorded in St. Louis, Boston, and New York. In contrast, Austin and Miami witnessed annual decreases, while Phoenix saw no change.

Looking ahead, CoreLogic's next SFRI report, due on January 16, 2024, promises to shed more light on these ongoing trends. For those keen on staying abreast of the housing market dynamics, CoreLogic's Intelligence Blog remains a valuable resource.

At its core, CoreLogic's SFRI fills a critical gap in single-family rental data, offering insights that are pivotal for understanding the broader rental housing market. Its methodology, which applies repeat pairing to rental listing data, offers a reliable and detailed perspective on rental price changes across nearly 100 metropolitan areas.

Source: CoreLogic


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