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Why Gas Stations Require Specialized Feasibility Analysis
Gas stations and convenience stores operate within one of the most data-intensive segments of commercial real estate. Unlike single-use commercial properties, a gas station is a multi-revenue-center business where fuel economics, convenience retail performance, and ancillary revenue streams must each be independently modeled and stress-tested against lender underwriting standards.

 

SBA lenders classify gas stations as special-purpose properties under SOP 50 10 8. This classification triggers mandatory third-party feasibility analysis for virtually all SBA 7(a) and 504 loan applications involving gas station acquisition, construction, or expansion. The SBA 504 program requires a 15% equity injection for special-purpose properties (20% if the borrower is also a startup), making the feasibility study a critical component of the capital stack evaluation.
 

USDA Business and Industry guaranteed loans are also available for gas stations in eligible rural areas (populations under 50,000), with loans up to $25 million and 80% federal guarantee. The feasibility study requirements under 7 CFR Part 5001 apply to all USDA-guaranteed gas station projects. Compare SBA vs. USDA financing options.

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Beyond regulatory compliance, the feasibility study serves a practical underwriting function: it provides lenders with independently constructed projections that validate whether the project can generate sufficient cash flow to service its debt obligations in a market where fuel margins are razor-thin and profitability depends heavily on convenience store performance.

What Our Gas Station Feasibility Studies Include

Every MMCG gas station feasibility study is engineered to address the full spectrum of analytical requirements that credit committees, SBA loan reviewers, and USDA Rural Development offices evaluate.
 

  • Fuel volume projections and margin analysis. We construct independent gallon-per-day (GPD) projections using AADT traffic counts, capture rate modeling, competitive supply analysis, and logistical setting evaluation. Our fuel revenue models distinguish between branded and unbranded supply economics, account for diesel and DEF demand where applicable, and project net fuel margins under multiple price scenarios. The average U.S. gas station moves approximately 3,000 to 4,000 gallons per day; our models evaluate where the subject property falls within that range and why.
     

  • AADT traffic analysis and capture rate modeling. Annual Average Daily Traffic data forms the foundation of fuel volume projections. We source AADT counts from state DOT databases, FHWA records, and mobile location analytics, then apply capture rate methodology calibrated to the station's logistical position: corner vs. mid-block, signalized intersection access, ingress/egress configuration, visibility from roadway, and directional traffic splits. Traffic quality matters more than traffic quantity. A station on a 4,300 AADT rural highway can outperform one on a 60,000 AADT urban corridor if logistical factors favor it.
     

  • Convenience store revenue modeling. Fuel sales typically represent approximately 70% of total revenue but only 30% of total profit. The convenience store generates the inverse: roughly 30% of revenue but 70% of profit. Our c-store projections model inside sales per square foot, product category margins (tobacco, beverages, prepared food, packaged snacks, lottery), and the impact of foodservice programs. Prepared food margins reach 55% to 65%, and foodservice now represents nearly 29% of total c-store in-store sales nationally, a share that has more than doubled over two decades.
     

  • Competitive landscape assessment. We profile every competing fuel retailer within the defined trade area, typically a one- to five-mile radius depending on market density. Each competitor is evaluated on fuel pricing, brand affiliation, c-store size and quality, traffic access, and operational hours. The analysis quantifies competitive saturation and identifies defensible positioning opportunities for the subject station.

 

  • Financial projections and DSCR analysis. Independent ten-year revenue and expense projections constructed from fuel volume models, c-store performance benchmarks, and comparable operating data. Every projection includes debt service coverage ratio analysis against SBA, USDA, and lender-specific thresholds, sensitivity testing under adverse fuel price and volume scenarios, and breakeven analysis identifying the minimum GPD required to sustain operations.

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Branded vs. Unbranded Fuel Economics

One of the most consequential strategic decisions in gas station development is the choice between branded and unbranded fuel supply. Our feasibility studies model both scenarios to inform the developer's decision and demonstrate financial viability under either structure.

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Branded fuel (Shell, BP, Chevron, ExxonMobil) carries a wholesale premium of approximately 7 to 10 cents per gallon but provides brand recognition, co-branded credit card programs, marketing support, and image standards that can drive higher traffic volume. Branded supply agreements typically run 10 to 15 years with volume commitments that must be evaluated against projected GPD.

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Unbranded fuel offers higher per-gallon margins and operational flexibility but carries supply priority risk during allocation periods and provides no brand-driven traffic lift. Unbranded market share has grown from approximately 45% to over 50% since 2018, reflecting operator preference for margin flexibility.

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Our analysis quantifies the net economic impact of each option on projected DSCR, factoring in wholesale cost differentials, volume sensitivity, and the c-store traffic implications of brand presence versus absence.

Gas Station Feasibility Study Cost

Gas station feasibility study fees typically range from $5,500 to $10,000+, depending on project complexity, number of revenue centers (QSR, car wash, truck fueling, EV charging), geographic market, and the scope of analysis required by the lender. Single-tenant fuel and c-store operations tend toward the lower end. Multi-use developments combining fuel dispensing with quick-service restaurants, car washes, or truck stop amenities fall at the higher end.
 

MMCG applies the same institutional-grade methodology and analytical rigor found at leading global consultancies. Our pricing, however, remains competitive within the feasibility study market, ensuring that lenders and borrowers across the full spectrum of gas station transactions receive premier-quality work at accessible fee levels.
 

Every engagement receives a fixed-fee proposal. No hourly billing, no scope creep, no surprises. Our standard fee structure is 50% upon engagement and 50% upon delivery and positive lender or CDC review and acceptance of the completed study.

Speak Directly With the Author of Your Study:

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Michal Mohelsky, J.D., | Principal | mmcginvest.com 

Contact: michal@mmcginvest.com

Phone:   (628) 225-1110

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Gas Station Feasibility Study

Contact Us

Have a particular challenge you're trying to deal with? Let's discuss your project and see what we can do for you.

166 Geary St Ste 1500

San Francisco,

California, 94108

+1 (628) 225-1110

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