Summary
Washington, DC underwrites outside a national template on a set of statute and government rooted structural variables. This research post carries each at the level a primary source supports, plus the USDA eligibility line and the Washington, DC metro SBA 7(a) and 504 record computed from the FOIA file. It is the companion to the Washington, DC feasibility study hub.
8 minute read.
Data as of June 2026. This companion research post carries the full structural and capital-markets detail behind the Washington, DC feasibility study hub. Every figure traces to a primary source named in the Sources list. MMCG's city briefs use primary and FOIA sources and do not carry commercial rent, vacancy or occupancy figures.
The structural variables that reset Washington, DC underwriting
Washington, DC carries its own set of statute and government rooted variables that redefine the underwriting envelope for a commercial real estate, SBA or USDA feasibility study. Each is stated here at the level a primary source supports.
The federal Height of Buildings Act of 1910. The federal Height of Buildings Act of 1910 caps building height in the District of Columbia by tying the maximum to the width of the street a building faces, rather than to floor area ratio or market demand. The National Capital Planning Commission states the ceiling reaches 130 feet on commercial streets, 90 feet on residential streets, and 160 feet along parts of Pennsylvania Avenue NW. It remains in force, applied through the District's Zoning Regulations on private land and through NCPC review on federal property, permanently limiting developable density and pushing high value uses horizontal rather than vertical.
Federal employer dominance and return to office. Government is the metro's structural employment base and the federal government is its largest single component, so federal workplace policy, not private hiring alone, moves the regional office market. The Presidential Memorandum of January 20, 2025 ordered agency heads to end remote work and return employees to in-person work full time, reshaping demand for federal and federally leased space in ways no national absorption template anticipates.
GSA federal real estate and lease demand. The General Services Administration is the federal government's central real estate agent and manages a nationwide portfolio of approximately 360 million rentable square feet. It sets leasing, consolidation and disposal policy for the agencies clustered in the capital, so DC-area office supply and demand swing with federal budget and workplace decisions rather than ordinary private absorption; GSA, for example, sold its 940,000 square foot Regional Office Building at 301 7th Street SW in Washington in a March 25, 2026 release.
Four jurisdiction metro with a federal cap on the District's tax base. The Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro spans four jurisdictions, the District of Columbia, Virginia, Maryland and West Virginia, each with its own income tax, property tax and land use rules, so identical projects carry different tax and entitlement math across a county line. The District is further constrained by federal law: the DC Home Rule Act, codified at DC Official Code section 1-206.02(a)(5), forbids the Council from taxing the income of any individual who is not a District resident. Because the daytime workforce commutes largely from Virginia and Maryland, that commuter income is beyond the District's reach.
The WMATA interstate compact transit anchor. Metro, the Washington Metropolitan Area Transit Authority, was created by an interstate compact in 1967 among the District of Columbia, Maryland and Virginia to build and run the regional transit system. WMATA reports serving roughly a 1,500 square mile area of about four million people, with 128 miles of rail across six lines and 98 stations. Because a multi-jurisdiction compact body controls the rail network, station-area development and its underwriting depend on cross-jurisdictional decisions no single locality makes alone.
Washington, DC SBA capital markets, computed from the FOIA file
Nationally, the U.S. Small Business Administration closed fiscal year 2025 having guaranteed 84,400 7(a) and 504 loans for $44.8 billion, comprising 77,600 7(a) loans for $37 billion and 6,750 504 loans for $7.8 billion, per SBA News Release 25-83 dated September 30, 2025. The Washington, DC metro cut below is computed in-house from the SBA 7(a) and 504 FOIA release by county membership across the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV Metropolitan Statistical Area, never read from an SBA district total.
In fiscal year 2025 the Washington, DC metro recorded 1,546 7(a) approvals for $625,214,500 and 51 504 approvals for $55,067,000, filed largely through the WASHINGTON DISTRICT OFFICE. The most active 7(a) lenders in the metro that year, by approval count, were Manufacturers and Traders Trust Company (315 loans); Northeast Bank (201 loans); Newtek Bank, National Association (125 loans); TD Bank, National Association (100 loans); The Huntington National Bank (94 loans); Readycap Lending, LLC (82 loans); BayFirst National Bank (38 loans); Wells Fargo Bank National Association (35 loans). The most active 504 Certified Development Companies were Business Finance Group, Inc. (30 loans, $30,039,000); Rappahannock Economic Development Corporation (16 loans, $19,279,000); 504 Capital Corporation (2 loans, $3,573,000); Chesapeake Business Finance Corporation (2 loans, $1,826,000); Prince George's Financial Services Corporation (1 loan, $350,000).
| Asset class | 7(a) loans | 7(a) gross approval | 7(a) charge-off rate | 504 loans | 504 gross approval | 504 charge-off rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hotels and motels | 51 | $154,879,300 | cohort under 30 | 32 | $85,769,000 | cohort under 30 |
| Car washes | 46 | $76,803,800 | cohort under 30 | 10 | $14,375,000 | cohort under 30 |
| Self-storage | under 5 | under 5 | ||||
| RV parks and campgrounds | under 5 | under 5 | ||||
| Assisted living and continuing care | 18 | $13,414,500 | cohort under 30 | 7 | $7,967,000 | cohort under 30 |
| Gas stations and convenience stores | 22 | $18,028,800 | cohort under 30 | 5 | $5,170,000 | cohort under 30 |
| Restaurants, full and limited service | 1,020 | $450,369,000 | 13.5% | 42 | $39,470,000 | cohort under 30 |
| Fitness and recreational sports centers | 245 | $87,936,900 | 14.1% | 9 | $7,907,000 | cohort under 30 |
| Marinas | under 5 | under 5 | ||||
| Child day care services | 229 | $194,873,500 | 6.3% | 26 | $29,656,000 | cohort under 30 |
| All ten asset classes in this table | 1,636 | $1,001,864,100 | 12.1% | 132 | $190,851,000 | 2.6% |
Source: U.S. Small Business Administration, 7(a) and 504 FOIA release (label as of June 30, 2026); computed by MMCG from the SBA FOIA loan file. Charge-off rate shown only where the resolved cohort has at least 30 loans; a cell under five loans is suppressed.
USDA eligibility geometry in the Washington, DC region
USDA Business and Industry financing runs under 7 CFR Part 5001. A rural area is one not in a city or town of more than 50,000 inhabitants and not in the urbanized area contiguous and adjacent to such a city or town. The DC metro core sits inside the Washington urbanized area and is ineligible, so this federal financing reaches smaller communities in the metro's outer counties across Virginia, Maryland and West Virginia, beyond the urbanized area, which MMCG verifies at the subject address on the USDA eligibility map at intake.
A note on what this post does not claim
A Washington, DC market piece would ordinarily carry submarket rents, vacancy and absorption. Those come from commercial market reports, which MMCG's city briefs do not carry, so they are omitted rather than shown on a weaker source. What remains is the statute, the federal program frame and the SBA record computed from the primary file, which is the part of a Washington, DC study a lender can check.
Sources
- U.S. Small Business Administration, News Release 25-83, September 30, 2025
- U.S. Small Business Administration, 7(a) and 504 FOIA release (label as of June 30, 2026)
- U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates Program, Metropolitan and Micropolitan Statistical Areas, vintage 2024
- National Capital Planning Commission (NCPC)
- Federal Register / The White House (Presidential Memorandum)
- U.S. General Services Administration
- Council of the District of Columbia (D.C. Law Library)
- Washington Metropolitan Area Transit Authority (WMATA)
- USDA Rural Development, rural-area definition at 7 CFR 5001.3 (eCFR)
- U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO-03-666)
Cite this
Michal Mohelsky, J.D., FMVA (2026). The Washington, DC Feasibility Market: SBA, USDA and Its Structural Variables. MMCG Invest, LLC. https://www.mmcginvest.com/post/washington-dc-feasibility-market-2026
Where this goes next
- The service page for the program this analysis is aboutMMCG's feasibility study page for this subject.
