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The Atlanta Feasibility Market: SBA, USDA and Its Structural Variables

Michal Mohelsky, J.D., Principal of MMCG InvestMichal Mohelsky, J.D., FMVA, Practicing Affiliate of the Appraisal InstitutePublished September 22, 20268 minute read

Summary

Atlanta underwrites outside a national template on a set of statute and government rooted structural variables. This research post carries each at the level a primary source supports, plus the USDA eligibility line and the Atlanta metro SBA 7(a) and 504 record computed from the FOIA file. It is the companion to the Atlanta feasibility study hub.

8 minute read.

Data as of June 2026. This companion research post carries the full structural and capital-markets detail behind the Atlanta feasibility study hub. Every figure traces to a primary source named in the Sources list. MMCG's city briefs use primary and FOIA sources and do not carry commercial rent, vacancy or occupancy figures.

The structural variables that reset Atlanta underwriting

Atlanta carries its own set of statute and government rooted variables that redefine the underwriting envelope for a commercial real estate, SBA or USDA feasibility study. Each is stated here at the level a primary source supports.

The Georgia film and entertainment tax credit. Metro Atlanta is the center of a film and television production economy built on a state tax credit with no national equivalent. Under O.C.G.A. Section 48-7-40.26, the Georgia Entertainment Industry Investment Act, a qualified production that spends at least $500,000 in state earns a transferable income tax credit of 20 percent of its Georgia spend, with a further 10 percent for carrying an approved Georgia promotional logo. Because the credit is transferable, it capitalizes soundstage, studio and production-support real estate directly, so a feasibility study for those assets has to model the credit rather than treat it as background.

Surface-water dependence and the tri-state water constraint. Metro Atlanta sits on granite, so it has almost no usable groundwater and depends on surface water from the Chattahoochee River and Lake Lanier. The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers operates Lake Lanier and controls river releases, and the Apalachicola-Chattahoochee-Flint basin has been contested for decades among Georgia, Alabama and Florida. For a water-intensive project such as a data center, a food or beverage plant or a large hospitality asset, water supply is a real constraint that an Atlanta feasibility study has to treat as a gating condition rather than an assumption.

Georgia's flat state income tax and relocation posture. Georgia levies a flat state individual income tax, part of a low-tax posture the state markets to employers. For a feasibility study the tax regime matters less to the operating pro forma than the film credit or the water constraint, but it belongs in the demand picture, so a study names the employment base it rests on rather than assuming a generic Sun Belt growth curve.

Atlanta SBA capital markets, computed from the FOIA file

Nationally, the U.S. Small Business Administration closed fiscal year 2025 having guaranteed 84,400 7(a) and 504 loans for $44.8 billion, comprising 77,600 7(a) loans for $37 billion and 6,750 504 loans for $7.8 billion, per SBA News Release 25-83 dated September 30, 2025. The Atlanta metro cut below is computed in-house from the SBA 7(a) and 504 FOIA release by county membership across the Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA Metropolitan Statistical Area, never read from an SBA district total.

In fiscal year 2025 the Atlanta metro recorded 1,775 7(a) approvals for $1,062,404,900 and 122 504 approvals for $191,606,000, filed largely through the GEORGIA DISTRICT OFFICE. The most active 7(a) lenders in the metro that year, by approval count, were Northeast Bank (245 loans); Newtek Bank, National Association (179 loans); The Huntington National Bank (154 loans); Readycap Lending, LLC (94 loans); Lendistry SBLC, LLC (62 loans); Live Oak Banking Company (61 loans); BayFirst National Bank (51 loans); Wells Fargo Bank National Association (49 loans). The most active 504 Certified Development Companies were Florida Business Development Corporation (43 loans, $66,599,000); Capital Partners Certified Development Company (32 loans, $40,674,000); Small Business Access Partners, Inc. (20 loans, $29,903,000); Georgia Certified Development Corporation (16 loans, $25,601,000); Florida First Capital Finance Corporation, Inc. (8 loans, $23,065,000); CSRA Local Development Corporation (3 loans, $5,764,000).

SBA 7(a) and 504 lending in the Atlanta MSA by asset class, fiscal years 2010 to 2026 disbursed, computed from the SBA FOIA release (as of June 30, 2026).
Asset class7(a) loans7(a) gross approval7(a) charge-off rate504 loans504 gross approval504 charge-off rate
Hotels and motels432$1,011,785,0001.4%97$208,133,0009.1%
Car washes175$346,716,3004.6%41$43,183,000cohort under 30
Self-storage47$53,460,9003.3%24$29,653,000cohort under 30
RV parks and campgroundsunder 5under 5
Assisted living and continuing care59$107,043,7000.0%14$27,942,000cohort under 30
Gas stations and convenience stores532$652,689,2001.4%28$21,387,000cohort under 30
Restaurants, full and limited service1,628$964,754,7008.9%118$101,058,0000.0%
Fitness and recreational sports centers260$131,144,20010.6%26$30,771,000cohort under 30
Marinasunder 5under 5
Child day care services454$575,249,9002.7%92$96,995,0000.0%
All ten asset classes in this table3,589$3,845,943,9005.5%440$559,122,0001.7%

Source: U.S. Small Business Administration, 7(a) and 504 FOIA release (label as of June 30, 2026); computed by MMCG from the SBA FOIA loan file. Charge-off rate shown only where the resolved cohort has at least 30 loans; a cell under five loans is suppressed.

USDA eligibility geometry in the Atlanta region

USDA Business and Industry financing runs under 7 CFR Part 5001. A rural area is one that is not in a city or town of more than 50,000 population and not in its contiguous urbanized area, so the Atlanta urban core is ineligible while the metro's outer counties carry eligible smaller towns. Because the line can run through a smaller town where its edge abuts a Census urbanized area, MMCG verifies the subject address on the USDA eligibility map at intake.

A note on what this post does not claim

An Atlanta market piece would ordinarily carry submarket rents, vacancy and absorption. Those come from commercial market reports, which MMCG's city briefs do not carry, so they are omitted rather than shown on a weaker source. What remains is the statute, the federal program frame and the SBA record computed from the primary file, which is the part of an Atlanta study a lender can check.

Sources

  1. U.S. Small Business Administration, News Release 25-83, September 30, 2025
  2. U.S. Small Business Administration, 7(a) and 504 FOIA release (label as of June 30, 2026)
  3. U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates Program, Metropolitan and Micropolitan Statistical Areas, vintage 2024
  4. Georgia Department of Economic Development, Georgia Film Office (georgia.org), implementing O.C.G.A. 48-7-40.26
  5. Atlanta Regional Commission, Tri-State Water Wars background and history
  6. Georgia Department of Economic Development (georgia.org)
  7. Electronic Code of Federal Regulations, 7 CFR 5001.3
Michal Mohelsky, J.D., Principal of MMCG Invest

Cite this

Michal Mohelsky, J.D., FMVA (2026). The Atlanta Feasibility Market: SBA, USDA and Its Structural Variables. MMCG Invest, LLC. https://www.mmcginvest.com/post/atlanta-feasibility-market-2026

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