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SBA 504 Feasibility Study Case Study: A Destination RV Resort on Old Gate Road in Pigeon Forge, Tennessee, Feasible as Resized

Michal Mohelsky, J.D., Principal of MMCG InvestMichal Mohelsky, J.D., FMVA, Practicing Affiliate of the Appraisal InstitutePublished October 2, 2026

A 220-site RV resort with 20 cabins proposed on a 16.22-acre wooded parcel at 820 Old Gate Road in Pigeon Forge, Sevier County, Tennessee, beside an operating branded resort and a short walk from the Parkway, on land marketed at $5,900,000 after a 40 percent reduction. The parcel is zoned R-2, where the city's ordinance does not list travel trailer parks, and a travel trailer park in Pigeon Forge is a planned unit development whose occupants may not stay more than 30 days. The 240-unit program does not fit the parcel's developable area with the amenity core and setbacks the ordinance requires, and at a $22,600,000 cost it covers at 1.14x in Year 3. Resized to 150 sites and 12 cabins at a $16,700,000 cost, under a 504 structure with a $8,350,000 bank first lien, a $5,500,000 debenture at the energy public policy cap and $2,850,000 of equity, the resort covers at 1.62x in Year 3 and 1.82x in Year 5. Determination: not feasible as proposed; feasible as resized, conditioned on a rezoning to C-2.

Model study prepared by MMCG Invest | Michal Mohelsky, J.D., FMVA | October 1, 2026

Study at a Glance

ItemFinding
Subject820 Old Gate Road, Pigeon Forge, TN 37863, parcel 095I B 02316 000
Site16.22 acres, sloped and wooded, public water, sewer and electric on site, two occupied rental cabins, adjacent to Camp Margaritaville RV Resort and Lodge; listed at $5,900,000 (REALTRACS MLS 3306884), reduced from $9,900,000 in February 2024
ZoningR-2 High Density Residential; travel trailer parks are permitted in C-2 Tourist Commercial as planned unit developments with a 30-day maximum stay
Program as proposed220 RV sites and 20 cabins, 240 units, 14.8 units per acre
Program as resized150 RV sites and 12 cabins, 162 units, 10.0 units per acre, with clubhouse, pool and two bathhouses
Loan programSBA 504, new business, 50 percent bank first lien, CDC debenture at the $5,500,000 energy public policy cap, borrower equity for the balance
Total Subject Project Cost (resized)$16,700,000 ($103,086 per unit, $36,790 of it land)
Stabilized revenue (Year 3, resized)$3,502,556
Debt service coverage (resized)Year 1 reserve funded, 1.34x Year 2, 1.62x Year 3, 1.71x Year 4, 1.82x Year 5
Debt service coverage (as proposed)Year 1 reserve funded, 0.91x Year 2, 1.14x Year 3, 1.23x Year 4, 1.32x Year 5
Break-even occupancy (Year 3, resized, blended)19.1 percent before debt, 40.2 percent at 1.0x coverage, 45.3 percent at 1.25x
DeterminationNot feasible as proposed; feasible as resized, conditioned on a rezoning of the parcel to C-2 and PUD approval, the CDC's classification of the property and its acceptance of the energy public policy goal, a bound insurance quote, and the city's confirmation of sewer capacity

Determination

MMCG concludes that the proposed 240-unit resort at 820 Old Gate Road in Pigeon Forge, Tennessee is not feasible as proposed and is feasible as resized. The proposal fails on two independent grounds. The parcel is zoned R-2, and the Pigeon Forge Zoning Ordinance lists travel trailer parks as a permitted use only in the C-2 Tourist Commercial district, so the project cannot proceed on the parcel as zoned; and even on a rezoned parcel, 220 sites and 20 cabins at 14.8 units per acre on a sloped, wooded 16.22-acre tract with a stream buffer exceed what the site holds once the ordinance's 25-foot perimeter setbacks, the amenity core, the roads and the bathhouses are drawn, which MMCG's site-fit test puts at about 214 sites with no amenities at all. The economics agree with the site plan: at a $22,600,000 cost and an absorption-constrained 42 percent stabilized occupancy, the proposal covers at 1.14x in Year 3, below the 1.25x the bank and the CDC require.

The resized program of 150 RV sites and 12 cabins at 10.0 units per acre fits the parcel with the amenity core the Pigeon Forge market expects, and at a $16,700,000 total project cost it covers at 1.62x in Year 3 and 1.82x in Year 5 on a stabilized rate of $92 nightly at 52 percent occupancy across the year, inside the band of $50 to $160 the competing resorts publish on their own websites. The structure is a 504 with a $8,350,000 bank first lien, a $5,500,000 CDC debenture at the cap available where the project meets the energy public policy goal, and $2,850,000 of borrower equity, 17.1 percent of cost, above the 15 percent the program requires of a new business. The stay-length question that governs SBA eligibility is answered by the ordinance itself: the 30-day maximum stay on a Pigeon Forge travel trailer park makes every site transient by law. The determination is conditioned on a rezoning to C-2 and PUD approval, the CDC's classification of the property and its acceptance of the energy goal, a bound insurance quote and the city's confirmation of sewer capacity.

Scope and Basis of This Model Study

This is an MMCG model study: a complete feasibility analysis performed on a real, publicly marketed parcel using public data, prepared to show 504 lenders, certified development companies and sponsors how MMCG tests a ground-up destination resort against the parcel, the ordinance and the program before the site plan is drawn. It is not a client engagement, MMCG has no relationship with the landowner, the listing broker or any prospective buyer, and the analysis does not represent an offer, an appraisal or a recommendation to buy the parcel. Figures drawn from the listing, the City of Pigeon Forge's ordinance, the National Park Service, the Tennessee Department of Tourist Development and competing resorts' own websites are identified as such. Figures labeled MMCG assumption are underwriting inputs set by MMCG from industry benchmarks, and items that could not be verified from a primary source at the study date are listed in the Conditions and Limitations section rather than estimated silently. In particular, the rates and site counts of several competing resorts from their own websites, the city's sewer capacity, the Sevier County and Pigeon Forge property tax rates and the assessment practice for RV resorts, any RV resort approved or under construction in Sevier County since 2024, and the CDC's classification of the property were not confirmed from primary sources at the study date and are carried as stated assumptions.

Project Business Plan

The Project will operate as a destination RV resort with cabins on the 16.22-acre parcel at 820 Old Gate Road in Pigeon Forge, Sevier County, Tennessee, immediately beside Camp Margaritaville RV Resort and Lodge and within walking distance of the Parkway, the city's tourism spine. The physical program as resized comprises 150 RV sites, 90 of them pull-through sites of 65 to 80 feet and 60 back-in sites of 55 to 65 feet, all full-hookup with 50-amp service, concrete pads and patios, and 12 rental cabins of 450 to 600 square feet, for 162 units on about 13.8 developable acres at 10.0 units per acre, together with a clubhouse of 4,500 square feet containing the office, a camp store, a lounge and a kitchen, a pool with a splash pad, two bathhouses with laundries, a playground, a dog park, and paved internal roads with a stream buffer along the parcel's creek frontage. The resort will be operated by the sponsor with a general manager, a resident maintenance lead and seasonal front desk, housekeeping and grounds staff of about 14 full-time equivalents in season, open year-round with reduced winter staffing, and every RV site will be rented on a transient basis with a 28-day maximum stay inside the ordinance's 30-day limit. The sponsor will hold the land, improvements and business in a single operating entity that borrows the bank first lien and the 504 debenture, with the sponsor's principals providing the personal guarantees the program requires. The Project is positioned between the Pigeon Forge resorts that publish $50 to $75 and the premium resort that publishes $89 to $160, at $92 nightly on a blended annual basis and $185 nightly for a cabin at stabilization, with seasonal pricing that runs from $65 in January to $135 in October.

Marketing and Sales Strategy

Pre-opening marketing begins six months before the first season from a temporary office on the site and the resort's own booking site, with the resort listed on the commercial reservation platforms and the two membership directories that Smokies travelers use. The primary channel is the destination itself: Great Smoky Mountains National Park drew 11.5 million recreation visits in 2025 and Sevier County's visitors spent $3.9 billion in 2024, and the resort's walking distance to the Parkway is its own channel. The second channel is the adjacency: Camp Margaritaville's guests and overflow are next door, and a resort beside a branded resort inherits its drive-by and its search traffic. The third channel is events: Pigeon Forge's rod runs, the fall color season and the Christmas season fill the city's parks months ahead, and the resort prices those weeks at the top of its card. Retention runs through a returning-guest program and through the cabins, which carry the shoulder seasons when RV occupancy falls.

Amenities

  • 150 full-hookup RV sites with 50-amp service, concrete pads and patios, 90 pull-throughs
  • 12 rental cabins of 450 to 600 square feet with kitchens and baths
  • Clubhouse of 4,500 square feet with office, camp store, lounge and kitchen
  • Pool with splash pad
  • Two bathhouses with laundries
  • Playground, dog park and creek-side walking path
  • Park-wide Wi-Fi included in the rate, paved roads, entry gate

Site and Location Analysis

The parcel is a 16.22-acre sloped and wooded tract at 820 Old Gate Road in Pigeon Forge, Sevier County, Tennessee, listed through REALTRACS MLS 3306884 at $5,900,000, or $363,748 per acre, with public water, public sewer and electric on site, two occupied long-term rental cabins, an agricultural tax classification and recent property taxes of $1,922. The listing's price history is itself a market fact: $9,900,000 in February 2024, $8,900,000 in May 2024, $7,500,000 in September 2024 and $5,900,000 in January 2026, a 40 percent reduction over two years. The parcel sits directly beside Camp Margaritaville RV Resort and Lodge, and the listing describes a short walk to the Parkway.

Pigeon Forge is the tourism center of Sevier County, which the Tennessee Department of Tourist Development's economic impact series ranks third among Tennessee's 95 counties with $3,929,693,370 of visitor spending in 2024, up 2.03 percent from $3,851,460,800 in 2023, generating $251.69 million of state and $187 million of local tax revenue. Great Smoky Mountains National Park, the country's most visited national park, recorded 11,527,939 recreation visits in 2025 and 12,191,834 in 2024, a decline of about 5.4 percent, and operates ten campgrounds with about 1,000 sites that recorded more than 420,000 camper nights in calendar 2024. The park's visitor spending exceeded $2.2 billion in 2023 and supported 33,748 jobs.

The site's two liabilities are its zoning and its topography. The parcel is R-2, and the city's ordinance does not list travel trailer parks in that district; the entitlement path is a rezoning to C-2 and a PUD approval, which is the first condition precedent and the reason the determination carries an entitlement contingency. The slope and the tree cover raise the site work budget and reduce the developable area, which MMCG carries at 85 percent of the gross parcel after the stream buffer, the perimeter setbacks and the retaining walls the grade requires.

Zoning and Entitlement

The City of Pigeon Forge Zoning Ordinance, updated through July 2023, governs. Section 340.1 defines a travel trailer park as a plot of land approved as a planned unit development, and provides that the occupants of such parks may not remain in the same trailer park more than 30 days. Section 407.2 lists travel trailer parks among the planned unit developments, which may be developed in any district provided that the uses permitted and the density requirements of the district allow the development. Section 702.3 lists the uses permitted in the R-2 district, including residential planned unit developments and mobile home parks, and does not list travel trailer parks; Section 704.2 lists travel trailer parks among the uses permitted in C-2 Tourist Commercial. The municipal code's trailer camp chapter, Title 14, Chapter 3, requires that all trailer camps be located in an industrial or commercial zone. The parcel must therefore be rezoned to C-2 before a travel trailer park PUD can be approved on it.

The PUD standards shape the site plan. Section 407.3.1 requires a setback of not less than 25 feet where the development adjoins a residential district, and Section 407.3.2.2 requires freestanding buildings to be 30 feet apart and 25 feet from exterior boundaries. Section 406 prohibits structures within 15 feet of a stream's top of bank and requires Planning Commission approval within 50 feet. Section 407.4 sets a four-step approval of preliminary PUD plan, final PUD plan with preliminary plat, and final plat, and Section 407.7.3 expires the special conditions permit in 12 months with one one-year extension. The ordinance sets no travel-trailer-specific minimum site size or density in the sections retrieved, and the study carries the site count from the physical fit rather than from a density cap.

The 30-day stay limit is the project's SBA eligibility finding written into the ordinance. A travel trailer park in Pigeon Forge cannot hold a monthly or seasonal guest, so every site is transient by law and the more-than-50-percent test of SOP 50 10 8 is met by projection without a stay-length covenant; the resort's 28-day operating maximum sits inside the limit.

The Tennessee Department of Health permits organized camps and travel campsites under Rule Chapter 1200-01-05 and Tennessee Code Annotated 68-110-103, with a site plan at not less than one inch to 100 feet showing camping spaces, structures, water supply, sewage disposal, roads and firefighting equipment, and a 2023 enactment defines a campground as five or more campsites and requires a posted policy on curfew, alcohol, tobacco and pets. The resort connects to public sewer, which removes the state's subsurface sewage permit from the path; the city's confirmation of sewer capacity for 162 units is the fourth condition precedent.

Utilities, Fees and Property Tax

Water, sewer and electric service are on the site, and the budget carries $780,000 for mains and laterals to the public systems and the resort's internal distribution, with the city's tap and capacity fees inside that line as a stated allowance. Electrical distribution and 50-amp pedestals at every site are carried at $720,000, or $4,800 per site, on the 2023 National Electrical Code basis of 12,000 volt-amperes per 50-amp site and a 41 percent demand factor at 36 or more sites.

Property tax is carried at $98,000 in Year 1, or $605 per unit, as an MMCG assumption that reflects Tennessee's 40 percent assessment ratio on commercial property and the combined Sevier County and City of Pigeon Forge rates on an appraised value near $14,500,000, escalating 2 percent per year; the certified rates and the assessor's practice for RV resorts are to be confirmed before closing. Sevier County's lodging tax applies to the resort's cabin and site revenue from transient guests and is collected from the guest.

Trade Area Demographics

The trade area for a destination resort is the destination's draw, not the county's population. Sevier County holds about 100,000 residents on Census Bureau estimates, and its own demographics describe the labor pool, which the county's 33,748 park-supported jobs and its hospitality employment base supply at the regional wage. The resort's guest is the Smokies visitor: 11.5 million recreation visits a year to the national park, a drive market that reaches Atlanta, Nashville, Charlotte and Cincinnati within five hours, and a camping segment that the park's own campgrounds, at about 1,000 sites and 420,000 camper nights, cannot hold. Visitor spending of $3.9 billion in the county in 2024 is the demand that reaches the Parkway, and the subject sits a short walk from it.

Demand and Penetration

The demand model counts the competitive set's capacity and the subject's share of it. The seven private resorts and parks MMCG identified in Pigeon Forge and Sevierville hold roughly 1,200 RV sites on the site counts MMCG could locate, several of them from aggregators and flagged as such, and the national park holds a further 1,000 campground sites. The resized subject's 150 RV sites are about 12 percent of the private supply; the proposed 220 sites would have been about 18 percent, which is the absorption pressure the as-proposed case carries in its lower stabilized occupancy.

The penetration test is the set's own occupancy. The Pigeon Forge resorts fill in the fall color and Christmas seasons months ahead, run near capacity on summer weekends and empty in January and February, and the published winter specials, a $300 weekly rate at one resort and 28 to 89 night seasonal stays at another, show where the winter floor sits. MMCG carries the resized subject at 52 percent annual occupancy at stabilization, built from a monthly curve that runs from 20 percent in January to 85 percent in October, and the cabins at 58 percent. On that curve the resort needs about 78 occupied RV sites a night on average across the year, which at 12 percent of the private supply in a market with $3.9 billion of visitor spending is a conservative capture.

Competitive Supply

MMCG identified seven competing resorts and parks in Pigeon Forge and Sevierville. Three publish rates on their own websites and are quoted; the others were located through aggregators, which are flagged.

Competitor Number 1 Camp Margaritaville RV Resort and Lodge This branded resort is located immediately beside the subject in Pigeon Forge, TN. Its site count and rates were not retrieved from its own website at the study date. It is the subject's adjacency and its most direct comparable in positioning.

Competitor Number 2 The Ridge Outdoor Resort This resort is located at 1250 Middle Creek Road, Sevierville, TN 37876 and is listed by an aggregator at 133 RV sites and 6 tiny houses. Its own website publishes premier sites at $88.99 to $159.99 per night on pads of 62 to 100 feet. It is the top of the market and the subject's premium reference.

Competitor Number 3 Pigeon Forge Landing RV Resort This resort is located at 455 Lonesome Valley Road, Sevierville, TN 37876 and is operated within the RVC Outdoors and Thousand Trails systems; the operator's page lists 237 sites. Its own site publishes rates starting at $50, offers annual, three-month, six-month and monthly rates on request, runs a Flock South seasonal program of 28 to 89 nights from October to April, and caps stays at 14 days per site from April 15 to September 15.

Competitor Number 4 Creekside RV Park This park is located on Walden's Creek in Pigeon Forge, TN and is listed by an aggregator at 108 sites. Its own website publishes 2026 rates of $55 for 30-amp sites and $75 for 50-amp sites, with pull-through and creekside sites at $5 more, nightly only with no monthly or annual rates.

Competitor Number 5 Pigeon Forge RV Resort This resort is located in Pigeon Forge, TN and is listed by an aggregator at 182 sites. Its own website shows creekside partial-hookup sites at an average of $72 per night.

Competitor Number 6 Camp Riverslanding This park is located at 304 Day Springs Road, Pigeon Forge, TN 37863 and is listed by aggregators at 117 to 122 sites. Its own website publishes a winter special of $300 per week for RV sites for the 2027 season, up from $225 per week in 2026; its nightly rates were not posted on the page retrieved.

Competitor Number 7 Sun Outdoors Pigeon Forge This resort is located at 1004 Parkway, Sevierville, TN 37876 and is listed by an aggregator at 194 RV sites and 23 cabins and cottages. Its own rates were not retrieved at the study date.

Mill Creek Resort, Smoky Mountain Premier RV Resort, Two Rivers Landing and Riveredge RV Park are also in the trade area and were not retrieved. No RV resort approved or under construction in Sevier County since 2024 was identified at the study date; the Sevierville Planning Commission's August 2026 approval at The 407 near Buc-ee's was a hotel, timeshare and indoor waterpark, not RV supply.

Pricing and Rate Positioning

The subject's rate card is set inside the verified band. The resized resort opens at a blended annual RV rate of $92 at stabilization, above the $50 to $75 the volume resorts publish and inside The Ridge's $89 to $160 premier sites, for a new resort with full hookups, 50-amp service, concrete pads, a pool and a clubhouse beside a branded neighbor; the as-proposed case is carried at $80 because 220 sites in a 1,200-site market price as a volume product. Cabins are carried at $185 nightly at stabilization. The blended rate is built from a seasonal card that runs from $65 in January to $135 in October, with weekend and holiday premiums, and rates escalate 3 percent per year. Other income, which comprises the camp store, laundry, golf cart rentals, firewood and fees, is carried at 6 percent of site and cabin revenue.

Lease-up concessions are not carried, because a destination resort fills on its season and its platform listings rather than on price; the first season is carried at a lower occupancy instead.

Lease-Up and Occupancy

Construction runs 14 months from a 2027 rezoning and PUD approval, and the resort opens for the 2028 fall season with its first full year in 2029.

YearRV sitesRV rate (blended annual)RV occupancyCabinsCabin rateCabin occupancyTotal revenue (resized)
Year 1150$9236 percent12$18542 percent$2,302,365
Year 2150$9547 percent12$19154 percent$3,088,270
Year 3150$9852 percent12$19658 percent$3,502,556
Year 4150$10153 percent12$20259 percent$3,675,869
Year 5150$10454 percent12$20860 percent$3,856,428

The as-proposed case carries 220 sites at $80 and 29, 38, 42, 43 and 44 percent occupancy, and 20 cabins at $180 and 35, 46, 50, 51 and 52 percent, for revenue of $2,462,232 in Year 1 and $3,772,969 in Year 3. The Year 1 shortfall of the resized case against debt service, $249,649, is funded from the interest and operating reserve.

Project Cost Estimate

Location: 820 Old Gate Road, Pigeon Forge, TN 37863 Units: 162 (150 RV sites and 12 cabins)

ItemCostCost in %Cost per Unit
Land Cost
Land Acquisition (16.22 acres, 820 Old Gate Rd, asking price)$5,900,00035.3%$36,420
Closing, Survey, Geotechnical and Phase I$60,0000.4%$370
Total Land Cost$5,960,00035.7%$36,790
Hard Cost
Clearing, Grading and Retaining on Sloped Site$900,0005.4%$5,556
Internal Roads and Paving$950,0005.7%$5,864
RV Pads, 150 Concrete Pull-Through and Back-In$1,050,0006.3%$6,481
Electrical Distribution and 50-Amp Pedestals$720,0004.3%$4,444
Water and Sewer Mains and Laterals to Public Utilities$780,0004.7%$4,815
Stormwater and Stream Buffer Improvements$350,0002.1%$2,160
Bathhouses (2) and Laundry$650,0003.9%$4,012
Clubhouse, Office and Camp Store$750,0004.5%$4,630
Pool and Splash Pad$550,0003.3%$3,395
Cabins, 12 Units$1,020,0006.1%$6,296
Landscaping, Lighting and Fencing$300,0001.8%$1,852
Architecture, Engineering, PUD and Permits$450,0002.7%$2,778
Hard Cost Contingency (7%)$592,9003.6%$3,660
Total Hard Cost$9,062,90054.3%$55,944
Improvements
Clubhouse and Cabin FF&E$240,0001.4%$1,481
Reservation System, Point of Sale and Park-Wide Wi-Fi$120,0000.7%$741
Maintenance Vehicles and Golf Carts$90,0000.5%$556
Signage$40,0000.2%$247
Total Equipment$490,0002.9%$3,025
Financial Cost
Construction Period Interest (Bank Interim Loan)$420,0002.5%$2,593
Bank Loan Fees (1%)$82,0000.5%$506
CDC and SBA Debenture Fees$145,7500.9%$900
Legal, Title and Closing$90,0000.5%$556
Pre-Opening Marketing$110,0000.7%$679
Interest and Operating Reserve Through Lease-Up$339,3502.0%$2,095
Total Financial Cost$1,187,1007.1%$7,328
Total Subject Project Cost$16,700,000100.0%$103,086

Source: Marshall & Swift CoreLogic, MMCG

Total project cost of $103,086 per unit is dominated by land at $36,790 per unit, a figure that no RV park in MMCG's reference set carries and that only a Pigeon Forge location a short walk from the Parkway can support; hard cost of $55,944 per unit, with the cabins, the pool, the clubhouse and the slope work inside it, sits at the mid-tier of the firm's new-build comparables, between the $47,000 to $54,000 per site of the clean private builds and the $88,000 and higher of the full-amenity public resorts. The reserve of $339,350 funds the Year 1 shortfall of $249,649 against debt service with $90,000 of margin. The as-proposed program is carried at $22,600,000: the same land, $14,100,000 of hard cost for 220 sites and 20 cabins with a larger pool and clubhouse, $650,000 of equipment and $1,890,000 of financial cost including a $700,000 reserve.

Loan Assumptions (resized)

ItemValue
LTC Ratio82.9%
Loan$8,350,000 bank first lien (50.0%) plus $5,500,000 SBA 504 debenture (32.9%)
Equity$2,850,000 (17.1%), above the 15% required of a new business
Interest Rate8.00% on the bank first lien (MMCG assumption); 6.25% effective on the 25-year debenture including fees (MMCG assumption at 2026 debenture rates)
Amortization25 years, both pieces
Annual Debt Service$773,360 bank, $435,382 debenture, $1,208,742 total

The debenture is capped. The standard 504 structure for a new business is 50 percent bank, 35 percent CDC and 15 percent borrower, and 35 percent of $16,700,000 is $5,845,000, above the $5,000,000 debenture maximum; the $5,500,000 maximum applies where the project meets an energy public policy goal, which the study carries on the basis of a design that reduces energy consumption by at least 10 percent against the applicable code baseline, to be confirmed by the CDC. The borrower's equity therefore rises to $2,850,000, or 17.1 percent. If the CDC classifies the property as a limited or special purpose property, the required contribution rises to 20 percent and the structure is $8,350,000 bank, $5,010,000 debenture and $3,340,000 equity, under which Year 3 coverage is 1.67x. As proposed, the structure is $11,300,000 bank, $5,500,000 debenture and $5,800,000 equity, 25.7 percent, with annual debt service of $1,481,965.

SBA 504 Program Compliance

The Project is an eligible business under SOP 50 10 8 because the Pigeon Forge ordinance limits a stay in a travel trailer park to 30 days, so more than 50 percent of revenue is derived from transients who stay 30 days or less by law as well as by projection; the resort carries no monthly, seasonal or annual product, and no mobile home or park model lots. The 504 project finances the land, the site work, the buildings and the long-lived equipment of an owner-operated business, and the sponsor occupies and operates the resort.

The borrower contribution is 15 percent for a business in operation for two years or less, 20 percent if the CDC also classifies the property as limited or special purpose; the study carries 17.1 percent at the capped debenture and states the 20 percent case. The job opportunity standard is one job per $95,000 of debenture under SBA's notice for loans approved on or after October 1, 2025, which at $5,500,000 is about 58 jobs against the resort's 14 full-time equivalents in season; the project therefore qualifies under the public policy goal of reducing energy consumption by at least 10 percent, which also lifts the debenture maximum to $5,500,000, and the CDC's acceptance of that goal is the second condition precedent. The debenture is fixed-rate over 25 years; the bank first lien is carried at a 25-year amortization with the bank's own term, and the study runs a sensitivity at 100 basis points above both rates.

Operating Expenses

The Year 3 operating budget at 52 percent RV and 58 percent cabin occupancy is built by line for a 162-unit destination resort in Sevier County.

Line (Year 3, resized)AmountPer unit per year
Property tax$101,959$629
Property and liability insurance$152,145$939
Payroll and benefits (14 FTE in season)$477,405$2,947
Utilities (electric at sites and cabins, water, sewer, trash, propane)$192,553$1,189
Repairs and maintenance, pool and grounds$107,894$666
Marketing and platform listings (4.5 percent of revenue)$157,615$973
Reservation platform and card processing (4 percent of revenue)$140,102$865
Administrative, franchise-free, lodging tax administration (3 percent of revenue plus $85,000)$195,253$1,205
Total operating expenses$1,524,927$9,413
Net operating income$1,977,630$12,208
NOI margin56.5 percent
Replacement reserve ($150 per unit)$24,300$150
Cash flow available for debt service$1,953,330$12,058

The expense ratio of 43.5 percent is below the 54 to 56 percent MMCG carries for a stabilized park from Newmark's expense analysis because the resort's revenue per unit of $21,621 is more than four times the Newmark average of $4,645 and the fixed lines do not scale with it; payroll at $2,947 per unit and 13.6 percent of revenue, marketing and reservation costs at 8.5 percent of revenue and insurance at $939 per unit are each above the Newmark proportions, which is how a resort budget differs from a park budget. Insurance is carried at $800 per RV site and $1,500 per cabin in Year 1, escalating 5 percent per year, in a market without wind or wildfire loading but with flood exposure along the creek that the bound quote must price. The replacement reserve is carried at $150 per unit on new construction.

Five-Year Pro Forma and Debt Service Coverage (Resized)

LineYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
RV site revenue$1,813,320$2,438,412$2,778,752$2,917,155$3,061,361
Cabin revenue$358,722$475,050$525,547$550,646$576,778
Other income$130,323$174,808$198,258$208,068$218,288
Total revenue$2,302,365$3,088,270$3,502,556$3,675,869$3,856,428
Total operating expenses$1,318,972$1,442,757$1,524,927$1,580,545$1,638,199
Net operating income$983,393$1,645,513$1,977,630$2,095,324$2,218,229
NOI margin42.7%53.3%56.5%57.0%57.5%
Replacement reserve ($150 per unit)$24,300$24,300$24,300$24,300$24,300
Cash flow available for debt service$959,093$1,621,213$1,953,330$2,071,024$2,193,929
Annual debt service$1,208,742$1,208,742$1,208,742$1,208,742$1,208,742
Cash flow after debt service($249,649)$412,471$744,588$862,282$985,187
Debt service coveragereserve1.34x1.62x1.71x1.82x

The Year 1 shortfall of $249,649 is funded from the reserve. The resort covers from Year 2 at 1.34x, reaches 1.62x in Year 3 and builds to 1.82x by Year 5, and its Year 3 yield on total project cost of 11.8 percent is the return a destination resort earns at a $92 rate on land that cost $36,790 per unit. As proposed, the same model produces net operating income of $1,723,787 in Year 3 against debt service of $1,481,965, coverage of 0.91x in Year 2, 1.14x in Year 3, 1.23x in Year 4 and 1.32x in Year 5, and a Year 1 shortfall of $855,890 against a $700,000 reserve; the proposal does not reach 1.25x until Year 5 and does not fit the parcel.

Break-Even Analysis

At Year 3 rates, the resized resort's fixed operating cost is $1,146,433 including the replacement reserve, and its variable cost is 11.5 percent of revenue for marketing, reservation and administrative lines. Occupancy is stated on a blended basis across all 162 units.

ThresholdBlended occupancy
NOI break-even19.1 percent
1.00x debt service coverage40.2 percent
1.25x debt service coverage45.3 percent
Year 3 forecast52.4 percent

The 1.25x threshold at 45.3 percent blended sits seven points under the forecast, and the 1.0x threshold at 40.2 percent is near the platform-wide annual occupancy that RV resorts record on the industry's booking data, which is the honest statement of the credit: a Pigeon Forge resort that performs like an average RV resort covers its debt, and one that performs like a Pigeon Forge resort covers it with room.

Sensitivity Analysis

Case (Year 3, resized)Total revenueNet operating incomeDebt service coverage
Base case$3,502,556$1,977,6301.62x
RV rate 10 percent below forecast$3,208,008$1,716,9551.40x
Occupancy of 46 percent$3,098,415$1,619,9651.32x
Occupancy of 42 percent$2,828,988$1,381,5211.12x
Controllable expenses 10 percent above budget$3,502,556$1,899,8441.55x
Combined: rate 10 percent lower and occupancy of 46 percent$2,837,854$1,389,3681.13x
Interest rates 100 basis points higher on both pieces$3,502,556$1,977,6301.48x
CDC classifies the property as special purpose (20 percent equity, $5,010,000 debenture)$3,502,556$1,977,6301.67x
As proposed: 220 sites and 20 cabins at $22,600,000$3,772,969$1,723,7871.14x

The resized resort holds coverage above 1.25x in every single-factor case except a stabilized occupancy of 42 percent, which is the as-proposed case's occupancy applied to the smaller resort, and the combined case of a lower rate and 46 percent occupancy holds 1.13x. The as-proposed row is the determination.

Risk Factors and Mitigants

  • Entitlement. The parcel is zoned R-2 and travel trailer parks are permitted in C-2. The rezoning and PUD approval are the first condition, the four-step PUD process and the 12-month permit life are carried in the schedule, and the land contract should be contingent on both.
  • Land basis. At $36,790 per unit the land is the largest line and the reason the resort must earn a $92 rate. The listing has been cut 40 percent in two years, and the sponsor's negotiation is the cheapest sensitivity in the study: every $500,000 off the price adds about five points of Year 3 coverage.
  • Site fit. The slope, the tree cover and the stream buffer reduce the developable area. The resized plan at 10.0 units per acre fits; the proposed plan at 14.8 does not, and the geotechnical and survey work is in the budget.
  • Absorption. The subject adds about 12 percent to the private supply in the trade area. The study carries a monthly occupancy curve with a January floor of 20 percent and does not carry the fall peak above 85 percent.
  • Debenture cap. The structure relies on the $5,500,000 debenture available under the energy public policy goal. If the CDC does not accept the goal, the debenture falls to $5,000,000 and the equity rises to $3,350,000.
  • Sewer. Public sewer is on site; capacity for 162 units is a condition.
  • Insurance. Creek frontage carries flood exposure. A bound quote is a condition.

Conditions and Limitations

The determination of not feasible as proposed and feasible as resized is subject to the following conditions precedent on the resized program:

  1. A rezoning of the parcel from R-2 to C-2 Tourist Commercial and approval of a travel trailer park planned unit development for 150 RV sites and 12 cabins under Sections 340.1, 407 and 704.2 of the Pigeon Forge Zoning Ordinance, with the land contract contingent on both.
  2. The certified development company's classification of the property and its acceptance of the energy public policy goal supporting a $5,500,000 debenture, or the restructuring to a $5,000,000 debenture and $3,350,000 of equity.
  3. A bound property, liability and flood insurance quote at or below $800 per RV site and $1,500 per cabin.
  4. The City of Pigeon Forge's written confirmation of water and sewer capacity for 162 units and the connection and capacity fees.

The following items could not be verified from a primary source at the study date and are disclosed: the rates and site counts of Camp Margaritaville, Sun Outdoors Pigeon Forge, Pigeon Forge RV Resort, Camp Riverslanding, Mill Creek Resort, Smoky Mountain Premier RV Resort, Two Rivers Landing and Riveredge RV Park from their own websites, in place of which the study carries the three published cards and the aggregator counts flagged above; any RV resort approved or under construction in Sevier County since 2024; the Sevier County and City of Pigeon Forge property tax rates and the assessor's practice for RV resorts; the city's sewer capacity and connection fees; the Sevier County population estimate; the two rental cabins' leases and the cost of terminating them; the 85 percent developable area assumption, which depends on the survey and the geotechnical report; and the CDC's classification of the property.

What the Lender and the CDC Would Receive

  • The written determination with the as-proposed and resized programs stated side by side and the four conditions precedent
  • The zoning analysis with the ordinance sections quoted, the rezoning path and the 30-day stay limit as the eligibility finding
  • The site-fit test and the site program for 162 units on 16.22 acres
  • The destination demand basis: park visitation, county visitor spending and the competitive set's capacity
  • The competitor census with three rate cards quoted from the resorts' own websites and the unverified resorts disclosed
  • The seasonal rate card, the monthly occupancy curve and the lease-up to stabilization
  • The project cost estimate and loan assumptions in MMCG's standard format, with the capped debenture and the three equity cases
  • The operating budget by line for a resort rather than a park
  • The five-year pro forma, debt service coverage by year and break-even occupancy at each test, for both programs
  • The sensitivity cases, including the special purpose classification case and the as-proposed case
  • The 504 compliance notes: the transient test, the new business contribution, the special purpose classification, the job opportunity standard and the energy public policy goal, the debenture maximum

This model study applies the methodology described on MMCG's RV park feasibility study and SBA RV park feasibility study pages. MMCG prepares RV park and campground feasibility studies for SBA 7(a) and 504, USDA Business and Industry and REAP, and conventional lenders nationwide, with engagements from $4,900 and delivery in 9 to 16 business days.

Sources

  1. REALTRACS MLS 3306884, 820 Old Gate Rd, Pigeon Forge, TN 37863, as displayed on LandSearch, updated September 3, 2026
  2. City of Pigeon Forge, Zoning Ordinance, updated through July 2023, Sections 340.1, 406, 407, 702.3 and 704.2
  3. City of Pigeon Forge, Municipal Code, Title 14, Chapter 3, Trailer Camps, via the Municipal Technical Advisory Service
  4. Sevier County Government, Tourism in Sevier County Generated $3,929,693,370 in Visitor Spending in 2024, August 26, 2025 (Tourism Economics for the Tennessee Department of Tourist Development)
  5. Pigeon Forge Department of Tourism, 2023 visitor spending release, September 6, 2024
  6. National Park Service, Public Interest in National Parks Remains Strong as Visits Top 323 Million in 2025, March 13, 2026, and Great Smoky Mountains National Park, Park Statistics page
  7. The Ridge Outdoor Resort, RV Sites page, theridgeoutdoorresort.com, accessed October 2026
  8. Creekside RV Park, 2026 Rates, creeksidervpark.com, accessed October 2026
  9. RVC Outdoors and Thousand Trails, Pigeon Forge Landing RV Resort pages, accessed October 2026
  10. Pigeon Forge RV Resort, premium creekside sites page, pigeonforgerv.com, accessed October 2026
  11. Camp Riverslanding, Specials page, campriverslanding.com, modified August 10, 2026
  12. Tennessee Department of Health, Rule Chapter 1200-01-05, Organized Camps, and Tennessee Code Annotated 68-110-103
  13. U.S. Small Business Administration, SOP 50 10 8, Section A, Chapter 1, Paragraph E.3, effective June 1, 2025
  14. U.S. Small Business Administration, 504 job opportunity standard, Federal Register, September 30, 2025, and 13 CFR 120.861 and 120.862
  15. NFPA 70, National Electrical Code, 2023 edition, Article 551 Part VI
  16. Newmark Valuation and Advisory, North American Market Survey 2026, Manufactured Housing and RV Parks section, and RV Park Expense Analysis, 2021 edition
  17. Outdoor Hospitality Industry, 2023 Industry Benchmarking Report, and Campspot and OHI, The Data Dig, May 2025
  18. Marshall & Swift CoreLogic, cost data, 2026

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Michal Mohelsky, J.D., Principal of MMCG Invest

Michal Mohelsky, J.D., FMVA

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